Sep 5, 2026
St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Parramatta Eels prediction: Eels favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 27 matchup [9/6/2026]
Read Article North QLD Cowboys vs. Canberra Raiders prediction: Why Cowboys are favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 27 matchup [9/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Dimers' simulation model projects a 66.7% win probability for the Cowboys at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.
The North QLD Cowboys and Canberra Raiders will meet in the National Rugby League (NRL) at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, starting at 3:30 AM ET.
Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Cowboys as the most likely winner in this Raiders vs. Cowboys prediction.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cowboys vs. Raiders prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NRL matchup between the Raiders and Cowboys, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Cowboys a 66.7% chance of defeating the Raiders.
According to our model, the Cowboys (-7.5) have a 50.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 55.5 points has a 60.7% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Raiders +155, Cowboys -200
- Total: Over/Under 55.5 (-114/-114)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Cowboys -7.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Cowboys @ -200 via BetRivers
- Total: Under 55.5 @ -114 via BetRivers
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 55.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & kickoff details
Saturday's Australian rugby league game between the Cowboys and Raiders at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:30 AM ET.
- Who: Canberra Raiders vs. North QLD Cowboys
- Date: Saturday, September 5, 2026
- Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
- Venue: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Cowboys, with a 66.7% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Lock in for all of NFL & College Football. Every plan unlocks every model, tool and insight, only the billing term changes.
MOST FLEXIBLE
Monthly billed monthly
$29.99
Month to month Pay as you go RECOMMENDED
6 Months one payment
$99.99 $149.99
6 months $16.67 per month Save $79.95 · 44% Early bird price BEST VALUE
Annual first year
$149.99 $199.99
12 months $12.50 per month Save $209.89 · 58% Early bird price Every plan includes
Full site access
iOS & Android app
AI bet assistant
Unlimited picks & predictions
Unlimited best bets & props
Unlimited player projections
Private Discord community
Cancel or pause anytime
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure
