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Read Article Dolphins vs. New Zealand Warriors prediction: Dolphins favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 17 matchup [6/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dolphins vs New Zealand Warriors predictions for NRL Saturday.
NRL action continues on Saturday at 1:00 AM ET as the New Zealand Warriors take on the favored Dolphins at Suncorp Stadium.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NRL model predicts the Dolphins as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Dolphins game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dolphins vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win Round 17 game?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NRL game between the Warriors and Dolphins, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Dolphins a 72.7% chance of defeating the Warriors.
According to our model, the Dolphins (-8.5) have a 51.7% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 51.5 points has a 55.2% chance of staying under,.
Warriors vs. Dolphins odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +185 | -238 |
| Line (Spread) | +8.5 (-120) | -8.5 (-105) |
| Total | o51.5 (-115) | u51.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Dolphins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins -8.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | bet_rivers_in-238 |
| Total | Under 51.5 | -115 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 51.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dolphins vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league action between the Dolphins and Warriors at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00 AM ET.
- Who: New Zealand Warriors vs. Dolphins
- Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026
- Time: 1:00 AM ET/10:00PM PT
- Venue: Suncorp Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Dolphins, with a 72.7% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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