South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. New Zealand Warriors prediction: Warriors favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 25 matchup [8/22/2026]

NRL action continues on Saturday at 3:30 AM ET as the New Zealand Warriors lock horns with the South Sydney Rabbitohs at Stadium Australia.

Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Warriors as the most likely winner in this Warriors vs. Rabbitohs prediction.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Rabbitohs vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win Round 25 game?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NRL matchup between the Warriors and Rabbitohs, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 68.3% chance of beating the Rabbitohs.

According to our model, the Warriors (-3.5) have a 63.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 52.0% chance of staying under.

Warriors vs. Souths odds

We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Warriors -159, Rabbitohs +125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Warriors vs. Rabbitohs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Warriors -3.5 @ -120 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Warriors @ -159 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 46.5 @ -122 via BetRivers

According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Warriors -3.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Rabbitohs vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's Australian rugby league action between the Rabbitohs and Warriors at Stadium Australia is scheduled to commence at 3:30 AM ET.

• Who: New Zealand Warriors vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs
• Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
• Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
• Venue: Stadium Australia

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Warriors, with a 68.3% win probability, will likely beat the Rabbitohs in Saturday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.