New Zealand Warriors vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Why Warriors are favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 26 matchup [8/30/2026]
Get New Zealand Warriors vs Newcastle Knights predictions for NRL Sunday.

The New Zealand Warriors and Newcastle Knights are scheduled to meet in the National Rugby League (NRL) at Go Media Stadium on Sunday, starting at 12:00 AM ET.
Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Warriors as the most likely winner in this Knights vs. Warriors prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Warriors vs. Knights prediction: Who will win Round 26 game?
Our independent predictive model gives the Warriors a 74.2% chance of defeating the Knights.
According to our model, the Warriors (-7.5) have a 54.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 48.5-point over/under has a 57.7% chance of staying under.
Knights vs. Warriors odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Moneyline: Knights +180, Warriors -233
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Knights vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Warriors -7.5 @ -120 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Warriors @ -233 via BetRivers
- Total: Under 48.5 @ -115 via DraftKings
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 48.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Warriors vs. Knights game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Warriors and Knights at Go Media Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:00 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle Knights vs. New Zealand Warriors
- Date: Sunday, August 30, 2026
- Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
- Venue: Go Media Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 74.2% win probability, will likely beat the Knights in Sunday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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