Manly Sea Eagles vs. St George Illawarra Dragons prediction: Why Sea Eagles are favored to win Friday's NRL Round 26 matchup [8/28/2026]

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Written by Damien Souness

Get Manly Sea Eagles vs St George Illawarra Dragons predictions for NRL Friday.

Manly Sea Eagles-St George Illawarra Dragons Predictions and Game Preview.
Manly Sea Eagles vs. St George Illawarra Dragons NRL prediction for Friday, August 28, 2026.

The Manly Sea Eagles and St George Illawarra Dragons are scheduled to meet in the National Rugby League (NRL) at Brookvale Oval on Friday, starting at 4:00 AM ET.

Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Sea Eagles as the most likely winner in this Dragons vs. Sea Eagles prediction.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Sea Eagles vs. Dragons prediction: Who will win Round 26 game?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NRL matchup between the Dragons and Sea Eagles, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Sea Eagles an 80.1% chance of beating the Dragons.

According to our model, the Sea Eagles (-9.5) have a 56.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 48.5 points has a 52.1% chance of staying under.

 

St George vs. Manly odds

We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Dragons +215, Sea Eagles -286

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dragons vs. Sea Eagles picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Spread: Sea Eagles -9.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
  • Moneyline: Sea Eagles @ -286 via BetRivers
  • Total: Under 48.5 @ -112 via BetRivers

According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sea Eagles to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Sea Eagles vs. Dragons game-day updates and essential details

Friday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Sea Eagles and Dragons at Brookvale Oval is scheduled to commence at 4:00 AM ET.

  • Who: St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Manly Sea Eagles
  • Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
  • Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
  • Venue: Brookvale Oval

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Sea Eagles, with an 80.1% win probability, will likely beat the Dragons in Friday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Experience Officer

Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.

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