Elena Rybakina vs. Alina Charaeva prediction, odds, picks for WTA China Open 2026

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Rybakina-Charaeva women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Rybakina a 91% chance of winning against Charaeva at the WTA China Open tournament. Additionally, Rybakina has an 86% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Charaeva (+6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 17.5 games has a 60% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Alina Charaeva +1400, Elena Rybakina -2000
• First Set: Rybakina -1000, Charaeva +600

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Charaeva @ +1400 via DraftKings
• First Set: Charaeva @ -125 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alina Charaeva to win the first set.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA China Open match between Elena Rybakina and Alina Charaeva is scheduled to begin on Friday at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Elena Rybakina vs. Alina Charaeva
• Date: Friday, October 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Tournament: WTA Beijing, China Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Elena Rybakina, with a 91% win probability, will likely beat Alina Charaeva at the WTA China Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.