Katie Volynets vs. Elise Mertens prediction, odds, picks for WTA China Open 2026

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Friday's Volynets-Mertens women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Mertens a 52% chance of beating Volynets at the WTA China Open tournament. Additionally, Mertens has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Volynets (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Elise Mertens -125, Katie Volynets +106
• First Set: Volynets +100, Mertens -125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Volynets @ +106 via DraftKings
• First Set: Mertens @ -130 via DraftKings

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Katie Volynets to win.

Although Volynets is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first serve details

The WTA China Open match between Katie Volynets and Elise Mertens is scheduled to begin on Friday at 11:00 PM ET.

• Who: Katie Volynets vs. Elise Mertens
• Date: Friday, October 2, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
• Tournament: WTA Beijing, China Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Elise Mertens, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Katie Volynets at the WTA China Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Tennis prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.