Dream vs. Sun prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [8/13/2026]
Get Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Thursday.
WNBA action continues on Thursday at 7:00 PM ET as the favored Atlanta Dream lock horns with the Connecticut Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Dream as the most likely winner in this Dream vs. Sun prediction.
The Sun, led by Diamond Miller, Leila Lacan and Brittney Griner, are set to take on the Dream, whose lineup includes Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Dream vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Dream an 84.0% chance of defeating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+10.5) have a 50.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 172.5-point over/under has a 53.3% chance of going over,.
Dream vs. Sun odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Dream -10.5 (+108) / Sun +10.5 (-111)
- Moneyline: Dream -426, Sun +441
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dream vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Dream -10.5 @ +108 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Dream @ -426 via Polymarket
- Total: Over 172.5 @ -106 via Novig
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Dream to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dream vs. Sun player props
WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Atlanta vs. Connecticut matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Allisha Gray is expected to lead the Dream with 18 points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists, while Diamond Miller is projected to have 13 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sun.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Brittney Griner striking first with a 14.6% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Dream prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Dream are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 18 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Rhyne Howard | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 34 |
| Angel Reese | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 41 |
| Jordin Canada | 11 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 34 |
| Brionna Jones | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamond Miller | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 24 |
| Leila Lacan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| Brittney Griner | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
Dream vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Sun and Dream at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atlanta Dream vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with an 84.0% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
