Dream vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Tuesday's WNBA game [8/18/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Dream and Aces, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Aces a 55.2% chance of beating the Dream.

According to our model, the Dream (+3.5) have a 57.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 179.5-point over/under has a 51.6% chance of staying under,.

Dream vs. Aces odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Dream +3.5 (+104) / Aces -3.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Dream +150, Aces -156

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Dream vs. Aces picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Dream +3.5 @ +104 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Dream @ +150 via Polymarket
• Total: Under 179.5 @ +104 via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dream +3.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Dream vs. Aces player props

WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Tuesday's Dream vs. Aces matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.

Allisha Gray is expected to lead the Dream with 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 27 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists for the Aces.

For early game action, the data identifies A'ja Wilson as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Dream prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Dream are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Allisha Gray	19	4	4	2	34
Rhyne Howard	17	4	4	3	36
Angel Reese	15	12	3	0	41
Jordin Canada	10	4	7	1	32
Naz Hillmon	8	5	1	1	19

Aces prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	27	10	3	1	53
Jackie Young	19	5	7	3	41
NaLyssa Smith	12	7	2	0	28
Chelsea Gray	12	4	7	2	33
Jewell Loyd	8	3	1	2	17

Dream vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's game between the Aces and Dream at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces
• Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 55.2% win probability, will likely beat the Dream in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.