Aug 25, 2026
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Read Article Sky vs. Sun prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [8/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Chicago Sky vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Tuesday.
The Connecticut Sun and Chicago Sky will meet in the WNBA at Mohegan Sun Arena on Tuesday, with tipoff at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Sky as the most likely winner in this Sky vs. Sun prediction.
The Sun, who have the likes of Aaliyah Edwards, Diamond Miller and Kennedy Burke, will face off against the Sky, who feature Natasha Cloud, Kamilla Cardoso and Sydney Taylor.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sky vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Sky and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Sky a 72.9% chance of defeating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+7.5) have a 54.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has a 52.8% chance of staying under.
Sky vs. Sun odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Sky -7.5 (+100) / Sun +7.5 (-106)
- Moneyline: Sky -295, Sun +285
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sky vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Sun +7.5 @ -106 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Sky @ -295 via BetRivers
- Total: Under 170.5 @ +117 via Polymarket
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 170.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sky vs. Sun player props
WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Chicago vs. Connecticut game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Natasha Cloud is expected to lead the Sky with 19 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists, while Aaliyah Edwards is projected to have 11 points, 5 rebounds and 1 assists for the Sun.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Sydney Taylor striking first with a 14.2% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sky prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 19 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 38 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 |
| Sydney Taylor | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 |
| C. Vandersloot | 10 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 29 |
| Azura Stevens | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah Edwards | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| Diamond Miller | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| Kennedy Burke | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| Saniya Rivers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
| C. Leger-Walker | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 23 |
Sky vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Sun and Sky at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Tuesday, August 25, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Sky, with a 72.9% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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