Sky vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 19 points in Thursday's WNBA matchup [6/11/2026]

The Indiana Fever will take on the Chicago Sky in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of the Sky vs. Fever game.

The Fever, led by Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, are set to take on the Sky, featuring Kamilla Cardoso, Skylar Diggins-Smith and Azura Stevens.

Clark, the hoops superstar making headlines with the Fever, is expected to shine with a projected 19 points and 3 threes.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sky vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Sky and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Fever a 77.3% chance of beating the Sky.

According to our model, the Sky (+8.5) have a 54.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 points has a 57.4% chance of staying under,.

Sky vs. Fever odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sky	Fever
Spread	+8.5 (+100)	-8.5 (-120)
Moneyline	+350	-430
Total	o172.5 (-106)	u172.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sky vs. Fever picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sky +8.5	+100
Moneyline	Sky	+350
Total	Under 172.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 172.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sky vs. Fever player props

Looking for Chicago vs. Indiana WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Kamilla Cardoso is expected to lead the Sky with 16 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 23 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.

For early game action, the data identifies Kelsey Mitchell as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sky prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kamilla Cardoso	16	9	3	0	37
S. Diggins-Smith	15	3	5	1	32
Azura Stevens	10	6	2	1	25
Natasha Cloud	10	3	4	1	25
E. Williams	8	5	2	0	21

Fever prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	23	2	3	3	35
Caitlin Clark	19	5	8	3	45
Aliyah Boston	17	9	4	1	39
M. Billings	7	5	1	0	19
M. Hines-Allen	7	5	3	0	23

Sky vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Fever and Sky at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever
• Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with a 77.3% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.