Sky vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Wednesday's WNBA game [7/22/2026]
Get Chicago Sky vs New York Liberty predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The New York Liberty will take on the Chicago Sky in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Wednesday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Sky vs. Liberty game.
The Liberty, with stars such as Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, are set to take on the Sky, whose lineup includes Sydney Taylor, Azura Stevens and Kamilla Cardoso.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sky vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 76.8% chance of beating the Sky.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Sky and Liberty each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 178 points has a 65.3% chance of staying under,.
Sky vs. Liberty odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sky | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-102) | -7.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +280 | -300 |
| Total | o178 (-115) | u178 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sky vs. Liberty picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sky +7.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Liberty | -300 |
| Total | Under 178 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sky vs. Liberty player props
WNBA player props are a common way to wager on Wednesday's Chicago vs. New York game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Sydney Taylor is expected to lead the Sky with 18 points, 2 rebounds and 2 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 20 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Liberty.
For early game action, the data identifies Breanna Stewart as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sky prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Taylor | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 28 |
| Azura Stevens | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 29 |
| Natasha Cloud | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| C. Vandersloot | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 20 |
Liberty prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 20 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 44 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 20 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 41 |
| Jonquel Jones | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 39 |
| Pauline Astier | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 24 |
| Han Xu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
Sky vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Liberty and Sky at Barclays Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 76.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
