Sun vs. Sky prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Friday's WNBA game [6/5/2026]

The Chicago Sky and Connecticut Sun are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Wintrust Arena on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Sky as the most likely winner of the Sun vs. Sky game.

The Sky, with star players like Skylar Diggins-Smith, Sydney Taylor and Kamilla Cardoso, are set to take on the Sun, featuring Brittney Griner, Aneesah Morrow and Leila Lacan.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sun vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA game between the Sun and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Sky a 73.9% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sky (-6.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5-point over/under has a 50.7% chance of going over.

Sun vs. Sky odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sun	Sky
Spread	+6.5 (-112)	-6.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+215	-250
Total	o164.5 (-108)	u164.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sun vs. Sky picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sky -6.5	-105
Moneyline	Sky	-250
Total	Over 164.5	-108

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Sky to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sun vs. Sky player props

Looking for Sun vs. Sky WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.

Brittney Griner is expected to lead the Sun with 14 points, 6 rebounds and 1 assists, while Skylar Diggins-Smith is projected to have 17 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists for the Sky.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kamilla Cardoso striking first with a 14.1% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sun prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Brittney Griner	14	6	1	0	29
Aneesah Morrow	12	10	1	1	33
Leila Lacan	12	2	4	1	27
Saniya Rivers	10	3	3	1	24
Diamond Miller	9	3	1	1	19

Sky prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Diggins-Smith	17	3	7	2	37
Sydney Taylor	15	2	2	2	26
Kamilla Cardoso	15	8	3	0	34
Natasha Cloud	11	4	5	1	29
Azura Stevens	9	5	2	1	23

Sun vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Sky and Sun at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky
• Date: Friday, June 5, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Wintrust Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Sky, with a 73.9% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.