Sun vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 23 points in Friday's WNBA matchup [8/28/2026]

The Indiana Fever and Connecticut Sun will lock horns in the WNBA at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner in this Sun vs. Fever prediction.

The Fever, led by Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, are set to take on the Sun, featuring Aaliyah Edwards, Diamond Miller and Saniya Rivers.

Clark, the sweet-shooting guard for the Fever, is expected to shine with a projected 23 points and 3 threes.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sun vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA game between the Sun and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Fever a 90.1% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+17.5) have a 62.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 178.5-point over/under has a 50.9% chance of going over.

Sun vs. Fever odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sun +17.5 (+108) / Fever -17.5 (+102)
• Moneyline: Sun +1567, Fever -1438

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sun vs. Fever picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sun +17.5 @ +108 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Sun @ +1567 via Polymarket
• Total: Over 178.5 @ -106 via Novig

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sun +17.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sun vs. Fever player props

WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on Friday's Sun vs. Fever matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Aaliyah Edwards is expected to lead the Sun with 15 points, 6 rebounds and 1 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 25 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.

When evaluating the first basket market, Aaliyah Edwards is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 16.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sun prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Aaliyah Edwards	15	6	1	0	30
Diamond Miller	10	4	2	1	21
Saniya Rivers	8	3	3	1	23
Raegan Beers	8	7	1	0	22
C. Leger-Walker	7	5	4	1	25

Fever prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	25	2	3	3	37
Caitlin Clark	23	4	9	3	50
Aliyah Boston	16	9	3	1	39
Makayla Timpson	12	7	1	0	27
S. Cunningham	6	2	2	1	13

Sun vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Fever and Sun at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever
• Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with a 90.1% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.