Sun vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 18 points in Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/22/2026]
Get Connecticut Sun vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Indiana Fever will face the Connecticut Sun in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of the Sun vs. Fever game.
The Fever, who have the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, are set to take on the Sun, who feature Olivia Nelson-Ododa, Leila Lacan and Diamond Miller.
Clark, the hoops superstar making headlines with the Fever, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 18 points and 2 threes.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sun vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Fever an 80.0% chance of defeating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+10.5) have a 56.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 178.5 points has a 63.3% chance of staying under,.
Sun vs. Fever odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sun | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10.5 (-104) | -10.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | +456 | -500 |
| Total | o178.5 (+102) | u178.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sun vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +10.5 | -104 |
| Moneyline | Sun | +456 |
| Total | Under 178.5 | -108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sun vs. Fever player props
WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Wednesday's Connecticut vs. Indiana game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Olivia Nelson-Ododa is expected to lead the Sun with 13 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 23 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kelsey Mitchell striking first with a 14.3% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sun prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Leila Lacan | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| Diamond Miller | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 |
| Kennedy Burke | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 23 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 34 |
| Caitlin Clark | 18 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 40 |
| Aliyah Boston | 16 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 37 |
| S. Cunningham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
| M. Billings | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
Sun vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Fever and Sun at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with an 80.0% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
