Wings vs. Liberty prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 20 points in Tuesday's WNBA game [7/7/2026]

WNBA action continues on Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET as the Dallas Wings take on the New York Liberty at Barclays Center.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Liberty game.

The Liberty, powered by Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, will face off against the Wings, who feature Paige Bueckers, Azzi Fudd and Arike Ogunbowale.

Bueckers, the star point guard for the Wings, is expected to shine with a projected 20 points and 1 threes.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Wings vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Wings and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Liberty a 73.0% chance of defeating the Wings.

According to our model, the Liberty (-4.5) have a 57.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 175.5 points has a 64.3% chance of staying under,.

Wings vs. Liberty odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Wings	Liberty
Spread	+4.5 (-112)	-4.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+155	-175
Total	o175.5 (-105)	u175.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wings vs. Liberty picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Liberty -4.5	-102
Moneyline	Liberty	-175
Total	Under 175.5	-105

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 175.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Wings vs. Liberty player props

WNBA player props are a great way to wager on Tuesday's Dallas vs. New York matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.

Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 20 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 19 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Liberty.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Paige Bueckers as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Wings prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Paige Bueckers	20	4	6	1	37
Azzi Fudd	15	2	2	2	28
A. Ogunbowale	13	2	3	2	24
Jessica Shepard	12	10	5	0	34
Maddy Siegrist	7	2	1	1	12

Liberty prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Breanna Stewart	19	8	3	1	40
Sabrina Ionescu	17	5	6	2	37
Jonquel Jones	15	9	3	2	37
Pauline Astier	13	4	5	1	30
Marine Johannes	9	3	3	2	20

Wings vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's game between the Liberty and Wings at Barclays Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty
• Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Barclays Center

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with a 73.0% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.