Wings vs. Fire prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 19 points in Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/22/2026]
Get Dallas Wings vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Portland Fire will take on the favored Dallas Wings in WNBA action at Moda Center on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Wings as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Fire game.
The Fire, with the likes of Megan Gustafson, Carla Leite and Bridget Carleton, are set to take on the Wings, featuring Jessica Shepard, Paige Bueckers and Azzi Fudd.
Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 19 points and 1 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Wings vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Wings a 74.0% chance of defeating the Fire.
According to our model, the Fire (+7.5) have a 52.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 178.5-point over/under has a 71.5% chance of staying under,.
Wings vs. Fire odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wings | Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (+100) | +7.5 (-107) |
| Moneyline | -260 | +240 |
| Total | o178.5 (-114) | u178.5 (-109) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wings vs. Fire picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fire +7.5 | -107 |
| Moneyline | Wings | -260 |
| Total | Under 178.5 | -109 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wings vs. Fire player props
WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Dallas vs. Portland matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Jessica Shepard is expected to lead the Wings with 22 points, 13 rebounds and 8 assists, while Megan Gustafson is projected to have 15 points, 4 rebounds and 1 assists for the Fire.
For early game action, the data identifies Paige Bueckers as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Wings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Shepard | 22 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 53 |
| Paige Bueckers | 19 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 37 |
| Azzi Fudd | 16 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 15 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| Li Yueru | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
Fire prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Gustafson | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25 |
| Carla Leite | 14 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 29 |
| B. Carleton | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 23 |
| Emily Engstler | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| Sarah Barker | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
Wings vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Fire and Wings at Moda Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Wings vs. Portland Fire
- Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Wings, with a 74.0% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
