Valkyries vs. Sun prediction: Why Golden State is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [8/26/2026]

The Connecticut Sun will take on the favored Golden State Valkyries in WNBA action at Mohegan Sun Arena on Wednesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Valkyries as the most likely winner in this Valkyries vs. Sun prediction.

The Sun, with star players such as Aaliyah Edwards, Kennedy Burke and Saniya Rivers, are set to take on the Valkyries, featuring Gabby Williams, Veronica Burton and Janelle Salaun.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Valkyries vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Valkyries and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Valkyries an 86.7% chance of defeating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+13.5) have a 58.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 153.5-point over/under has a 61.2% chance of going over.

Valkyries vs. Sun odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Valkyries -13.5 (-122) / Sun +13.5 (+117)
• Moneyline: Valkyries -1011, Sun +953

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Valkyries vs. Sun picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sun +13.5 @ +117 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Sun @ +953 via Novig
• Total: Over 153.5 @ +104 via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sun +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Valkyries vs. Sun player props

WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Golden State vs. Connecticut matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Gabby Williams is expected to lead the Valkyries with 14 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Aaliyah Edwards is projected to have 17 points, 6 rebounds and 1 assists for the Sun.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Gabby Williams as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Valkyries prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Gabby Williams	14	4	2	2	28
Veronica Burton	12	4	6	1	31
Janelle Salaun	12	4	2	2	23
C. Zandalasini	10	3	2	2	21
Tiffany Hayes	10	6	3	1	25

Sun prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Aaliyah Edwards	17	6	1	0	31
Kennedy Burke	11	4	2	1	25
Saniya Rivers	10	4	3	1	25
Diamond Miller	10	3	2	1	19
C. Leger-Walker	9	5	4	1	26

Valkyries vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between the Sun and Valkyries at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun
• Date: Wednesday, August 26, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Valkyries, with an 86.7% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.