Valkyries vs. Sun prediction: Why Golden State is favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [7/10/2026]

The Connecticut Sun will take on the favored Golden State Valkyries in WNBA action at Mohegan Sun Arena on Friday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Valkyries as the most likely winner of the Valkyries vs. Sun game.

The Sun, who have the likes of Olivia Nelson-Ododa, Leila Lacan and Kennedy Burke, will face off against the Valkyries, whose lineup includes Veronica Burton, Janelle Salaun and Kayla Thornton.

This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Valkyries vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Valkyries and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Valkyries a 62.1% chance of defeating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+6.5) have a 60.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 153.5 points has a 60.2% chance of going over,.

Valkyries vs. Sun odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Valkyries	Sun
Spread	-6.5 (+108)	+6.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-228	+217
Total	o153.5 (-102)	u153.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Valkyries vs. Sun picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sun +6.5	novig-105
Moneyline	Sun	novig+217
Total	Over 153.5	-102

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 153.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Valkyries vs. Sun player props

Looking for Golden State vs. Connecticut WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Veronica Burton is expected to lead the Valkyries with 12 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Olivia Nelson-Ododa is projected to have 14 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sun.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Janelle Salaun striking first with a 15.5% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Valkyries prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Veronica Burton	12	4	6	1	30
Janelle Salaun	10	3	1	2	18
Kayla Thornton	9	5	1	2	21
Tiffany Hayes	9	3	2	1	18
Gabby Williams	9	2	2	1	19

Sun prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
O. Nelson-Ododa	14	7	2	0	32
Leila Lacan	11	2	4	1	26
Kennedy Burke	10	3	2	1	22
Raegan Beers	9	5	1	0	20
Aaliyah Edwards	9	5	1	0	20

Valkyries vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between the Sun and Valkyries at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun
• Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Valkyries, with a 62.1% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.