Fever vs. Wings prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 23 points in Thursday's WNBA game [8/20/2026]

The Dallas Wings and Indiana Fever will meet in the WNBA at American Airlines Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 8:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner in this Fever vs. Wings prediction.

The Wings, who have stars like Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard, will face off against the Fever, who feature Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston.

Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 23 points and 3 threes.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fever vs. Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA game between the Fever and Wings, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Fever a 60.7% chance of defeating the Wings.

According to our model, the Wings (+3.5) have a 51.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 185.5-point over/under has a 54.7% chance of staying under,.

Fever vs. Wings odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Fever -3.5 (+100) / Wings +3.5 (+100)
• Moneyline: Fever -156, Wings +150

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fever vs. Wings picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Wings +3.5 @ +100 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Fever @ -156 via Polymarket
• Total: Under 185.5 @ -104 via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 185.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fever vs. Wings player props

WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Fever vs. Wings matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.

Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 25 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 20 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Wings.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Kelsey Mitchell as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fever prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	25	3	3	3	38
Caitlin Clark	23	4	10	3	50
Aliyah Boston	17	9	3	1	41
S. Cunningham	9	3	1	2	18
Makayla Timpson	7	7	1	0	22

Wings prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Paige Bueckers	20	4	6	2	38
A. Ogunbowale	15	3	3	2	29
Jessica Shepard	11	9	4	0	31
Alanna Smith	10	6	2	1	28
Awak Kuier	7	4	1	1	20

Fever vs. Wings game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Wings and Fever at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings
• Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with a 60.7% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.