Fever vs. Aces prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 19 points in Sunday's WNBA game [7/12/2026]

The Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever will lock horns in the WNBA at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Sunday, with tipoff at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner of the Fever vs. Aces game.

The Aces, who have the likes of A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray, will face off against the Fever, who feature Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston.

Clark, the sweet-shooting guard for the Fever, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 19 points and 2 threes.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fever vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA game between the Fever and Aces, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Aces a 72.8% chance of beating the Fever.

According to our model, the Aces (-5.5) have a 52.6% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 181.5 points has a 67.5% chance of staying under,.

Fever vs. Aces odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fever	Aces
Spread	+5.5 (-105)	-5.5 (-108)
Moneyline	+186	-210
Total	o181.5 (-110)	u181.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fever vs. Aces picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Aces -5.5	-108
Moneyline	Aces	bet_rivers_in-210
Total	Under 181.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 181.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fever vs. Aces player props

WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on Sunday's Indiana vs. Las Vegas game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.

Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 21 points, 1 rebounds and 3 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 26 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists for the Aces.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to A'ja Wilson striking first with a 15.5% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fever prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	21	1	3	3	32
Caitlin Clark	19	4	7	2	41
Aliyah Boston	16	9	4	1	39
S. Cunningham	7	3	1	1	15
M. Billings	7	5	1	0	17

Aces prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	26	9	3	1	52
Jackie Young	18	4	6	2	37
Chelsea Gray	11	3	6	1	31
NaLyssa Smith	10	5	1	0	20
Jewell Loyd	10	3	1	2	20

Fever vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Aces and Fever at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces
• Date: Sunday, July 12, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 72.8% win probability, will likely beat the Fever in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.