Fever vs. Sparks prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 21 points in Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/8/2026]

The Los Angeles Sparks will face the favored Indiana Fever in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Wednesday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner of the Fever vs. Sparks game.

The Sparks, with star players such as Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Rae Burrell, will face off against the Fever, who feature Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Sophie Cunningham.

Clark, the sweet-shooting guard for the Fever, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 21 points and 3 threes.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fever vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Fever and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Fever a 73.3% chance of defeating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Fever (-5.5) have a 54.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182.5 points has a 74.5% chance of staying under,.

Fever vs. Sparks odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fever	Sparks
Spread	-5.5 (-110)	+5.5 (+102)
Moneyline	-223	+213
Total	o182.5 (-108)	u182.5 (-104)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fever vs. Sparks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Fever -5.5	novig-110
Moneyline	Fever	novig-223
Total	Under 182.5	hard_rock-104

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 182.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fever vs. Sparks player props

Betting on Fever vs. Sparks WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 24 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Dearica Hamby is projected to have 18 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Nneka Ogwumike as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fever prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	24	2	4	3	36
Caitlin Clark	21	4	9	3	47
S. Cunningham	9	3	1	2	19
M. Billings	9	6	1	0	24
M. Hines-Allen	7	5	3	0	22

Sparks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Dearica Hamby	18	7	3	0	36
Nneka Ogwumike	18	6	2	2	33
Rae Burrell	11	3	2	1	20
Ariel Atkins	10	3	3	1	23
Erica Wheeler	9	2	3	1	20

Fever vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between the Sparks and Fever at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks
• Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with a 73.3% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.