Aces vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's WNBA game [8/3/2026]

The Atlanta Dream and Las Vegas Aces will meet in the WNBA at State Farm Arena on Monday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Dream as the most likely winner in this Aces vs. Dream prediction.

The Dream, who have the likes of Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, are set to take on the Aces, featuring A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chelsea Gray.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Aces vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's WNBA matchup between the Aces and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Dream a 65.5% chance of beating the Aces.

According to our model, the Dream (-2.5) have a 56.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 185.5-point over/under has a 72.6% chance of staying under,.

Aces vs. Dream odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Aces	Dream
Spread	+2.5 (+100)	-2.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+127	-125
Total	o185.5 (-110)	u185.5 (-113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Aces vs. Dream picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Dream -2.5	-105
Moneyline	Dream	-125
Total	Under 185.5	-113

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 185.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Aces vs. Dream player props

WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Aces vs. Dream game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 29 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 19 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for the Dream.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight A'ja Wilson as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Aces prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	29	8	4	2	55
Jackie Young	17	4	6	2	37
Chelsea Gray	11	3	7	1	31
NaLyssa Smith	10	5	1	0	20
Jewell Loyd	8	2	1	2	17

Dream prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Allisha Gray	19	4	2	2	32
Rhyne Howard	17	4	3	3	34
Angel Reese	16	13	3	0	43
Jordin Canada	13	3	7	1	33
Brionna Jones	10	6	2	0	23

Aces vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Dream and Aces at State Farm Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream
• Date: Monday, August 3, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Dream, with a 65.5% win probability, will likely beat the Aces in Monday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.