Aces vs. Sky prediction: Why Las Vegas is favored to win Sunday's WNBA game [6/28/2026]

The Chicago Sky will square off with the favored Las Vegas Aces in WNBA action at United Center on Sunday, starting at 4:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Aces as the most likely winner of the Aces vs. Sky game.

The Sky, with star players such as Skylar Diggins-Smith, Kamilla Cardoso and Natasha Cloud, will face off against the Aces, whose lineup includes A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Chennedy Carter.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Aces vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Aces and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Aces a 69.4% chance of defeating the Sky.

According to our model, the Sky (+6.5) have a 56.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 181.5 points has a 68.5% chance of staying under,.

Aces vs. Sky odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Aces	Sky
Spread	-6.5 (-125)	+6.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-300	+245
Total	o181.5 (-108)	u181.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Aces vs. Sky picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sky +6.5	-105
Moneyline	Sky	+245
Total	Under 181.5	-112

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 181.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Aces vs. Sky player props

WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Sunday's Las Vegas vs. Chicago game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at United Center.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 29 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists, while Skylar Diggins-Smith is projected to have 16 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Sky.

For early game action, the data identifies Chennedy Carter as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Aces prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	29	10	4	2	58
Jackie Young	17	5	6	2	38
Chennedy Carter	16	3	2	0	27
Chelsea Gray	12	4	7	2	34
Jewell Loyd	10	3	1	2	21

Sky prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Diggins-Smith	16	3	6	1	33
Kamilla Cardoso	14	9	3	0	34
Natasha Cloud	12	4	4	1	27
Azura Stevens	9	6	2	1	22
Gabriela Jaquez	8	3	1	1	16

Aces vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Sky and Aces at United Center is scheduled to start at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky
• Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: United Center

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with a 69.4% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.