Aces vs. Tempo prediction: Why Las Vegas is favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [8/23/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Aces and Tempo, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Aces an 85.0% chance of beating the Tempo.

According to our model, the Tempo (+12.5) have a 62.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 181.5-point over/under has a 52.6% chance of staying under.

Aces vs. Tempo odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Aces -12.5 (-118) / Tempo +12.5 (-106)
• Moneyline: Aces -900, Tempo +600

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Aces vs. Tempo picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Tempo +12.5 @ -106 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Tempo @ +600 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 181.5 @ -105 via DraftKings

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tempo +12.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Aces vs. Tempo player props

WNBA player props are a common way to wager on the Aces vs. Tempo matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rogers Arena.

A'ja Wilson is expected to lead the Aces with 26 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists, while Laura Juskaite is projected to have 13 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Tempo.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to A'ja Wilson striking first with a 14.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Aces prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Aces are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
A'ja Wilson	26	10	3	1	52
Jackie Young	19	4	7	4	41
NaLyssa Smith	12	6	1	0	25
Chelsea Gray	12	3	6	2	31
Jewell Loyd	7	3	2	2	17

Tempo prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Laura Juskaite	13	6	2	1	28
I. Harrison	12	6	2	1	29
Kiki Rice	11	4	5	1	27
Kia Nurse	11	3	2	3	21
Julie Allemand	7	4	6	1	26

Aces vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between the Tempo and Aces at Rogers Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Aces vs. Toronto Tempo
• Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Rogers Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Aces, with an 85.0% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

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