Sparks vs. Sun prediction: Why Los Angeles is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [8/18/2026]
Get Los Angeles Sparks vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Tuesday.

The Connecticut Sun will square off with the Los Angeles Sparks, in what is expected to be a close WNBA game, at TD Garden on Tuesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model gives the Sparks a slight edge with a 50.9% win probability over the Sun.
The Sun, who have the likes of Leila Lacan, Olivia Nelson-Ododa and Aaliyah Edwards, are set to take on the Sparks, who feature Nneka Ogwumike, Dearica Hamby and Rae Burrell.
This article offers a complete Sparks vs. Sun prediction, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sparks vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Sparks a 50.9% chance of defeating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+1.5) have a 54.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 169.5 points has a 52.6% chance of going over,.
Sparks vs. Sun odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Sparks -1.5 (+100) / Sun +1.5 (-104)
- Moneyline: Sparks -113, Sun +111
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sparks vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Sun +1.5 @ -104 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Sun @ +111 via Novig
- Total: Over 169.5 @ -106 via Novig
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sun +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sparks vs. Sun player props
Looking for Sparks vs. Sun WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at TD Garden.
Nneka Ogwumike is expected to lead the Sparks with 16 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Leila Lacan is projected to have 11 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists for the Sun.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Brittney Griner as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sparks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike | 16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 35 |
| Dearica Hamby | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 34 |
| Rae Burrell | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
| Ariel Atkins | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
| Erica Wheeler | 10 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 25 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leila Lacan | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 24 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
| Diamond Miller | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
| Brittney Griner | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
Sparks vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Sun and Sparks at TD Garden is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: TD Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Sparks, with a 50.9% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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