Sparks vs. Sun prediction: Why Los Angeles is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [8/18/2026]

WNBA action continues on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET as the Los Angeles Sparks take on the Connecticut Sun at TD Garden.

Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Sparks as the most likely winner in this Sparks vs. Sun prediction.

The Sun, who have the likes of Leila Lacan, Olivia Nelson-Ododa and Diamond Miller, are set to take on the Sparks, who feature Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Rae Burrell.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sparks vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Sparks and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Sparks a 56.1% chance of defeating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sparks (+1.5) have a 54.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has a 54.7% chance of going over,.

Sparks vs. Sun odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Sparks +1.5 (-104) / Sun -1.5 (-111)
• Moneyline: Sparks +108, Sun +127

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sparks vs. Sun picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Sparks +1.5 @ -104 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Sparks @ +108 via Novig
• Total: Over 170.5 @ +100 via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sparks to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sparks vs. Sun player props

Betting on Los Angeles vs. Connecticut WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at TD Garden.

Dearica Hamby is expected to lead the Sparks with 17 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Leila Lacan is projected to have 11 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists for the Sun.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Dearica Hamby striking first with a 16.2% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sparks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Dearica Hamby	17	8	3	0	37
Nneka Ogwumike	17	9	3	1	37
Rae Burrell	16	3	3	2	30
Ariel Atkins	10	4	3	1	26
Emma Cannon	6	3	1	1	13

Sun prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Leila Lacan	11	3	4	1	27
O. Nelson-Ododa	11	7	2	0	27
Diamond Miller	11	4	2	2	23
Kennedy Burke	10	4	2	1	23
Saniya Rivers	7	3	3	1	18

Sparks vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Sun and Sparks at TD Garden is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun
• Date: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: TD Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Sparks, with a 56.1% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.