Sparks vs. Lynx prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/15/2026]

The Minnesota Lynx will take on the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Target Center on Wednesday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Sparks vs. Lynx game.

The Lynx, with the likes of Kayla McBride, Olivia Miles and Courtney Williams, will face off against the Sparks, whose lineup includes Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Rae Burrell.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sparks vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Sparks and Lynx, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Lynx an 83.1% chance of beating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Sparks (+11.5) have a 55.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 182.5-point over/under has a 73.7% chance of staying under,.

Sparks vs. Lynx odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sparks	Lynx
Spread	+11.5 (-105)	-11.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+471	-506
Total	o182.5 (-113)	u182.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sparks vs. Lynx picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sparks +11.5	-105
Moneyline	Lynx	-506
Total	Under 182.5	-110

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 182.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sparks vs. Lynx player props

Looking for Sparks vs. Lynx WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Dearica Hamby is expected to lead the Sparks with 17 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kayla McBride is projected to have 20 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists for the Lynx.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Olivia Miles striking first with a 13.5% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sparks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Dearica Hamby	17	8	3	0	36
Nneka Ogwumike	17	7	3	2	34
Rae Burrell	13	3	2	2	24
Ariel Atkins	12	3	3	1	27
Erica Wheeler	10	2	4	2	24

Lynx prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kayla McBride	20	3	4	4	36
Olivia Miles	18	5	6	2	39
C. Williams	18	6	7	2	41
Natasha Howard	17	9	3	0	42
Nia Coffey	9	6	3	2	28

Sparks vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's action between the Lynx and Sparks at Target Center is scheduled to start at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Minnesota Lynx
• Date: Wednesday, July 15, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with an 83.1% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.