Sparks vs. Tempo prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [6/25/2026]

The Toronto Tempo will take on the Los Angeles Sparks in WNBA action at Coca-Cola Coliseum on Thursday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Tempo as the most likely winner of the Sparks vs. Tempo game.

The Tempo, with the likes of Marina Mabrey, Isabelle Harrison and Laura Juskaite, are set to take on the Sparks, whose lineup includes Nneka Ogwumike, Dearica Hamby and Ariel Atkins.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Sparks vs. Tempo prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Sparks and Tempo, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Tempo a 57.8% chance of beating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Tempo (+1.5) have a 63.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 181.5-point over/under has a 72.5% chance of staying under,.

Sparks vs. Tempo odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sparks	Tempo
Spread	-1.5 (-104)	+1.5 (-115)
Moneyline	-112	-102
Total	o181.5 (-108)	u181.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sparks vs. Tempo picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Tempo +1.5	-115
Moneyline	Tempo	-102
Total	Under 181.5	-112

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 181.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Sparks vs. Tempo player props

Looking for Sparks vs. Tempo WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Coca-Cola Coliseum.

Nneka Ogwumike is expected to lead the Sparks with 20 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists, while Marina Mabrey is projected to have 18 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Tempo.

When evaluating the first basket market, Marina Mabrey is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 15.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Sparks prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Sparks are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nneka Ogwumike	20	8	2	2	38
Dearica Hamby	16	8	2	0	34
Ariel Atkins	13	4	4	1	32
Rae Burrell	10	3	2	1	20
Erica Wheeler	9	3	4	1	23

Tempo prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Marina Mabrey	18	4	5	3	36
I. Harrison	14	7	2	1	33
Laura Juskaite	11	4	2	1	25
Maria Conde	10	5	3	2	23
Nyara Sabally	7	5	1	0	20

Sparks vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Tempo and Sparks at Coca-Cola Coliseum is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo
• Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Coca-Cola Coliseum

Conclusion

We predict the Tempo, with a 57.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.