Lynx vs. Aces prediction: Minnesota favored to win Saturday's WNBA game [8/15/2026]
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Las Vegas Aces predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Las Vegas Aces and Minnesota Lynx will lock horns in the WNBA at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Saturday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner in this Lynx vs. Aces prediction.
The Aces, who have the likes of A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and NaLyssa Smith, will face off against the Lynx, whose lineup includes Napheesa Collier, Olivia Miles and Kayla McBride.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Lynx a 63.9% chance of beating the Aces.
According to our model, the Lynx (-1.5) have a 58.4% chance of covering the spread, while the 181.5-point over/under has a 53.3% chance of staying under,.
Lynx vs. Aces odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Lynx -1.5 (-108) / Aces +1.5 (+104)
- Moneyline: Lynx -127, Aces +122
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Aces picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Lynx -1.5 @ -108 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Lynx @ -127 via Polymarket
- Total: Under 181.5 @ +104 via Polymarket
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lynx to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Aces player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Saturday's Minnesota vs. Las Vegas game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
Napheesa Collier is expected to lead the Lynx with 21 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 26 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists for the Aces.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight A'ja Wilson as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 21 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 44 |
| Olivia Miles | 19 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 42 |
| Kayla McBride | 18 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 32 |
| C. Williams | 15 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 34 |
| Natasha Howard | 12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 32 |
Aces prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 26 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 52 |
| Jackie Young | 19 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 41 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| Chelsea Gray | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 34 |
| Jewell Loyd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 |
Lynx vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Aces and Lynx at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Saturday, August 15, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 63.9% win probability, will likely beat the Aces in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
