Lynx vs. Sparks prediction: Minnesota favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [6/17/2026]

The Los Angeles Sparks will face the favored Minnesota Lynx in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Sparks game.

The Sparks, led by Nneka Ogwumike, Dearica Hamby and Rae Burrell, are set to take on the Lynx, featuring Courtney Williams, Olivia Miles and Natasha Howard.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Lynx vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Lynx and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Lynx an 82.6% chance of beating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Sparks (+10.5) have a 53.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 173.5-point over/under has a 61.4% chance of staying under,.

Lynx vs. Sparks odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lynx	Sparks
Spread	-10.5 (-110)	+10.5 (-104)
Moneyline	-575	+425
Total	o173.5 (-110)	u173.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lynx vs. Sparks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sparks +10.5	-104
Moneyline	Sparks	+425
Total	Under 173.5	-110

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 173.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Lynx vs. Sparks player props

Betting on Lynx vs. Sparks WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Courtney Williams is expected to lead the Lynx with 16 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is projected to have 17 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Natasha Howard as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Lynx prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
C. Williams	16	5	6	2	37
Olivia Miles	16	5	5	2	35
Natasha Howard	16	8	3	0	37
Kayla McBride	15	3	3	3	29
Nia Coffey	9	6	3	2	26

Sparks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nneka Ogwumike	17	8	3	2	35
Dearica Hamby	16	8	3	0	35
Rae Burrell	11	3	2	1	22
Ariel Atkins	11	3	3	1	24
Erica Wheeler	10	2	4	2	24

Lynx vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between the Sparks and Lynx at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Los Angeles Sparks
• Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with an 82.6% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.