Liberty vs. Sky prediction: Why New York is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA game [6/17/2026]

The Chicago Sky will take on the favored New York Liberty in WNBA action at Wintrust Arena on Wednesday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Liberty vs. Sky game.

The Sky, with star players such as Skylar Diggins-Smith, Kamilla Cardoso and Azura Stevens, are set to take on the Liberty, whose lineup includes Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Liberty vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Liberty and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Liberty a 76.8% chance of beating the Sky.

According to our model, the Sky (+10.5) have a 61.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has a 53.3% chance of staying under,.

Liberty vs. Sky odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Liberty	Sky
Spread	-10.5 (-105)	+10.5 (-110)
Moneyline	-500	+400
Total	o170.5 (-108)	u170.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Liberty vs. Sky picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sky +10.5	-110
Moneyline	Sky	+400
Total	Under 170.5	-112

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sky +10.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Liberty vs. Sky player props

WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on Wednesday's Liberty vs. Sky game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.

Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 19 points, 8 rebounds and 4 assists, while Skylar Diggins-Smith is projected to have 15 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Sky.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Breanna Stewart striking first with a 12.9% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Liberty prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Breanna Stewart	19	8	4	1	42
Sabrina Ionescu	16	4	5	2	34
Jonquel Jones	13	8	3	2	35
Satou Sabally	12	4	2	2	25
Pauline Astier	10	3	3	1	22

Sky prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Diggins-Smith	15	3	5	2	32
Kamilla Cardoso	13	8	3	0	31
Azura Stevens	11	6	2	1	26
Natasha Cloud	10	4	4	1	25
E. Williams	9	5	2	0	22

Liberty vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's action between the Sky and Liberty at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky
• Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Wintrust Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with a 76.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.