Liberty vs. Valkyries prediction: Golden State favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [6/28/2026]

The Golden State Valkyries and New York Liberty will meet in the WNBA at Chase Center on Sunday, with tipoff at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Valkyries as the most likely winner of the Liberty vs. Valkyries game.

The Valkyries, who have the likes of Veronica Burton, Tiffany Hayes and Kayla Thornton, will face off against the Liberty, who feature Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Liberty vs. Valkyries prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Liberty and Valkyries, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Valkyries a 57.6% chance of defeating the Liberty.

According to our model, the Valkyries (-1.5) have a 51.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 164.5 points has a 52.2% chance of going over,.

Liberty vs. Valkyries odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Liberty	Valkyries
Spread	+1.5 (-112)	-1.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+105	-120
Total	o164.5 (-105)	u164.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Liberty vs. Valkyries picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Valkyries -1.5	-105
Moneyline	Valkyries	-120
Total	Over 164.5	-105

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Valkyries to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Liberty vs. Valkyries player props

WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Liberty vs. Valkyries matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.

Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 16 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Veronica Burton is projected to have 12 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Valkyries.

For early game action, the data identifies Gabby Williams as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Liberty prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Breanna Stewart	16	7	3	1	37
Sabrina Ionescu	15	4	5	2	33
Jonquel Jones	12	9	3	2	31
Pauline Astier	11	4	4	1	25
Leonie Fiebich	7	3	2	1	16

Valkyries prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Valkyries:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Veronica Burton	12	4	6	2	32
Tiffany Hayes	11	3	3	1	23
Kayla Thornton	11	6	1	2	24
Gabby Williams	11	3	3	1	23
Janelle Salaun	9	3	1	2	17

Liberty vs. Valkyries game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's game between the Valkyries and Liberty at Chase Center is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries
• Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Chase Center

Conclusion

We predict the Valkyries, with a 57.6% win probability, will likely beat the Liberty in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.