Fire vs. Sky prediction: Why Chicago is favored to win Friday's WNBA game [6/26/2026]

The Chicago Sky will square off with the Portland Fire in WNBA action at Wintrust Arena on Friday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Sky as the most likely winner of the Fire vs. Sky game.

The Sky, led by Skylar Diggins-Smith, Sydney Taylor and Kamilla Cardoso, are set to take on the Fire, whose lineup includes Carla Leite, Megan Gustafson and Bridget Carleton.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fire vs. Sky prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA game between the Fire and Sky, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Sky a 75.8% chance of defeating the Fire.

According to our model, the Sky (-6.5) have a 52.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 173.5-point over/under has a 63.0% chance of staying under,.

Fire vs. Sky odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fire	Sky
Spread	+6.5 (-115)	-6.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+200	-245
Total	o173.5 (-110)	u173.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fire vs. Sky picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sky -6.5	-105
Moneyline	Sky	-245
Total	Under 173.5	-110

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 173.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fire vs. Sky player props

WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Portland vs. Chicago matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Wintrust Arena.

Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 13 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Skylar Diggins-Smith is projected to have 16 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Sky.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Megan Gustafson striking first with a 13.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fire prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Carla Leite	13	2	4	1	25
Megan Gustafson	12	4	1	3	22
B. Carleton	9	4	2	2	22
Sarah Barker	8	4	2	1	20
Emily Engstler	7	5	2	1	24

Sky prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sky:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
S. Diggins-Smith	16	3	6	2	35
Sydney Taylor	15	1	2	2	24
Kamilla Cardoso	15	8	3	0	34
Azura Stevens	11	7	2	2	28
Gabriela Jaquez	9	4	1	1	18

Fire vs. Sky game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Sky and Fire at Wintrust Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Portland Fire vs. Chicago Sky
• Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Wintrust Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Sky, with a 75.8% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.