Fire vs. Sparks prediction: Los Angeles favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [6/7/2026]

The Los Angeles Sparks will take on the Portland Fire in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Sparks as the most likely winner of the Fire vs. Sparks game.

The Sparks, powered by Kelsey Plum, Dearica Hamby and Nneka Ogwumike, will face off against the Fire, who feature Carla Leite, Megan Gustafson and Bridget Carleton.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fire vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Fire and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Sparks a 78.0% chance of beating the Fire.

According to our model, the Sparks (-7.5) have a 52.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 174.5 points has a 56.0% chance of staying under.

Fire vs. Sparks odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fire	Sparks
Spread	+7.5 (-110)	-7.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+240	-290
Total	o174.5 (-106)	u174.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fire vs. Sparks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sparks -7.5	-102
Moneyline	Sparks	-290
Total	Under 174.5	-108

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 174.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fire vs. Sparks player props

Betting on Fire vs. Sparks WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 13 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Kelsey Plum is projected to have 21 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists for the Sparks.

For early game action, the data identifies Kelsey Plum as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fire prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Carla Leite	13	2	4	1	25
Megan Gustafson	12	4	1	2	22
B. Carleton	9	4	2	2	22
Sarah Barker	8	4	2	1	19
L. Geiselsoder	8	4	2	2	21

Sparks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Plum	21	3	6	2	40
Dearica Hamby	19	8	4	0	41
Nneka Ogwumike	19	7	3	2	37
Ariel Atkins	14	4	4	2	31
Erica Wheeler	11	3	4	2	25

Fire vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Sparks and Fire at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Portland Fire vs. Los Angeles Sparks
• Date: Sunday, June 7, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Sparks, with a 78.0% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.