Fire vs. Storm prediction: Seattle favored to win Saturday's WNBA game [7/4/2026]

The Seattle Storm will face the Portland Fire in WNBA action at Climate Pledge Arena on Saturday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Storm as the most likely winner of the Fire vs. Storm game.

The Storm, led by Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Awa Fam, will face off against the Fire, who feature Carla Leite, Bridget Carleton and Megan Gustafson.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fire vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Fire and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Storm a 73.4% chance of defeating the Fire.

According to our model, the Storm (-4.5) have a 58.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 points has a 59.9% chance of staying under,.

Fire vs. Storm odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fire	Storm
Spread	+4.5 (-110)	-4.5 (-108)
Moneyline	+155	-185
Total	o172.5 (-110)	u172.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fire vs. Storm picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Storm -4.5	-108
Moneyline	Storm	-185
Total	Under 172.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fire vs. Storm player props

Looking for Fire vs. Storm WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.

Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 15 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Dominique Malonga is projected to have 18 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists for the Storm.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Dominique Malonga striking first with a 14.2% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fire prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Carla Leite	15	3	5	1	31
B. Carleton	10	4	2	2	22
Megan Gustafson	9	3	1	2	16
L. Geiselsoder	9	5	2	2	22
Emily Engstler	8	5	2	1	25

Storm prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
D. Malonga	18	9	2	1	40
N. Hiedeman	14	2	4	2	27
Awa Fam	13	5	2	2	27
F. Johnson	12	4	2	1	24
Jordan Horston	6	3	2	0	16

Fire vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Storm and Fire at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

• Who: Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm
• Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
• Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
• Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Storm, with a 73.4% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.