Fire vs. Mystics prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [6/28/2026]

The Washington Mystics and Portland Fire will meet in the WNBA at CareFirst Arena on Sunday, with tipoff at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Mystics as the most likely winner of the Fire vs. Mystics game.

The Mystics, who have the likes of Shakira Austin, Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen, are set to take on the Fire, whose lineup includes Carla Leite, Bridget Carleton and Megan Gustafson.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fire vs. Mystics prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Fire and Mystics, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mystics a 69.4% chance of beating the Fire.

According to our model, the Fire (+6.5) have a 55.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 167.5-point over/under has a 54.7% chance of staying under,.

Fire vs. Mystics odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fire	Mystics
Spread	+6.5 (-102)	-6.5 (-118)
Moneyline	+230	-270
Total	o167.5 (-110)	u167.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fire vs. Mystics picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Fire +6.5	-102
Moneyline	Fire	+230
Total	Under 167.5	-105

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Fire +6.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fire vs. Mystics player props

Looking for Portland vs. Washington WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at CareFirst Arena.

Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 12 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Shakira Austin is projected to have 17 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Mystics.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kiki Iriafen striking first with a 14.6% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fire prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Carla Leite	12	2	4	1	23
B. Carleton	10	4	2	2	23
Megan Gustafson	10	3	1	1	17
Emily Engstler	8	5	2	1	24
Sarah Barker	8	3	2	1	18

Mystics prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mystics:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Shakira Austin	17	8	3	0	40
Sonia Citron	17	4	3	2	32
Kiki Iriafen	14	8	2	0	31
M. Onyenwere	8	2	1	1	15
Lauren Betts	8	3	2	0	17

Fire vs. Mystics game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Mystics and Fire at CareFirst Arena is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Portland Fire vs. Washington Mystics
• Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: CareFirst Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Mystics, with a 69.4% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.