Storm vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 18 points in Friday's WNBA matchup [7/17/2026]

The Indiana Fever will take on the Seattle Storm in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Fever game.

The Fever, who have the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Sophie Cunningham, are set to take on the Storm, whose lineup includes Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Awa Fam.

Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 18 points and 2 threes.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Storm vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Storm and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Fever a 71.1% chance of beating the Storm.

According to our model, the Storm (+8.5) have a 59.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 179.5-point over/under has a 68.5% chance of staying under,.

Storm vs. Fever odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Storm	Fever
Spread	+8.5 (-102)	-8.5 (+100)
Moneyline	+340	-355
Total	o179.5 (-118)	u179.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Storm vs. Fever picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Storm +8.5	-102
Moneyline	Storm	+340
Total	Under 179.5	-112

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 179.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Storm vs. Fever player props

WNBA player props are an enjoyable way to wager on the Seattle vs. Indiana game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Dominique Malonga is expected to lead the Storm with 16 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 20 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kelsey Mitchell striking first with a 14.9% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Storm prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
D. Malonga	16	8	2	0	36
N. Hiedeman	15	2	4	2	29
Awa Fam	12	5	2	1	27
F. Johnson	12	3	2	1	24
Jade Melbourne	6	1	3	0	15

Fever prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	20	2	3	2	32
Caitlin Clark	18	5	8	2	44
S. Cunningham	10	3	1	2	18
M. Billings	9	6	1	0	22
Makayla Timpson	8	6	1	0	20

Storm vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between the Fever and Storm at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever
• Date: Friday, July 17, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with a 71.1% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.