Storm vs. Sparks prediction: Los Angeles favored to win Monday's WNBA matchup [7/6/2026]

WNBA action continues on Monday at 10:00 PM ET as the Seattle Storm take on the Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Sparks as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Sparks game.

The Sparks, with star players like Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Ariel Atkins, will face off against the Storm, who feature Natisha Hiedeman, Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Storm vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's WNBA matchup between the Storm and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Sparks a 62.3% chance of defeating the Storm.

According to our model, the Storm (+3.5) have a 53.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 176.5-point over/under has a 66.9% chance of staying under,.

Storm vs. Sparks odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Storm	Sparks
Spread	+3.5 (-105)	-3.5 (-125)
Moneyline	+150	-170
Total	o176.5 (-110)	u176.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Storm vs. Sparks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Storm +3.5	-105
Moneyline	Sparks	-170
Total	Under 176.5	-108

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 176.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Storm vs. Sparks player props

WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Monday's Seattle vs. Los Angeles game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Natisha Hiedeman is expected to lead the Storm with 18 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Dearica Hamby is projected to have 19 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Dominique Malonga as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Storm prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
N. Hiedeman	18	3	5	3	35
D. Malonga	17	8	2	1	36
F. Johnson	15	5	3	2	32
Awa Fam	15	5	2	3	31
Jade Melbourne	7	2	3	1	17

Sparks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Dearica Hamby	19	8	3	0	39
Nneka Ogwumike	18	7	2	2	34
Ariel Atkins	11	4	3	1	27
Rae Burrell	11	3	2	1	22
Erica Wheeler	8	2	3	1	19

Storm vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details

Monday's action between the Sparks and Storm at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparks
• Date: Monday, July 6, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Sparks, with a 62.3% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Monday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.