Storm vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Monday's WNBA game [8/3/2026]
Get Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty predictions for WNBA Monday.
The New York Liberty will take on the Seattle Storm in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Monday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Liberty as the most likely winner in this Storm vs. Liberty prediction.
The Liberty, with the likes of Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, are set to take on the Storm, who feature Natisha Hiedeman, Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Storm vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Liberty a 74.2% chance of beating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+7.5) have a 52.4% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182.5 points has a 70.5% chance of staying under,.
Storm vs. Liberty odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Storm | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (+100) | -7.5 (-104) |
| Moneyline | +285 | -300 |
| Total | o182.5 (+100) | u182.5 (-104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Liberty picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm +7.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Storm | +285 |
| Total | Under 182.5 | -104 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 182.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Liberty player props
WNBA player props are a common way to wager on the Seattle vs. New York matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Natisha Hiedeman is expected to lead the Storm with 18 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 22 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists for the Liberty.
When evaluating the first basket market, Dominique Malonga is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 14.5% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Storm prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hiedeman | 18 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 34 |
| D. Malonga | 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 33 |
| F. Johnson | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
| Awa Fam | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
| Jade Melbourne | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 20 |
Liberty prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 22 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 45 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 19 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 40 |
| Jonquel Jones | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Pauline Astier | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| Han Xu | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 |
Storm vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Liberty and Storm at Barclays Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty
- Date: Monday, August 3, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 74.2% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
