Storm vs. Fire prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [6/17/2026]

WNBA action continues on Wednesday at 10:00 PM ET as the Seattle Storm square off with the Portland Fire at Moda Center.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Fire as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Fire game.

The Fire, with the likes of Carla Leite, Megan Gustafson and Bridget Carleton, are set to take on the Storm, featuring Natisha Hiedeman, Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Storm vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Storm and Fire, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Fire a 61.3% chance of beating the Storm.

According to our model, the Storm (+4.5) have a 55.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 162.5-point over/under has a 52.5% chance of staying under,.

Storm vs. Fire odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Storm	Fire
Spread	+4.5 (-114)	-4.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+155	-180
Total	o162.5 (-114)	u162.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Storm vs. Fire picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Storm +4.5	-114
Moneyline	Storm	+155
Total	Under 162.5	-105

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm +4.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Storm vs. Fire player props

Looking for Storm vs. Fire WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.

Natisha Hiedeman is expected to lead the Storm with 16 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while Carla Leite is projected to have 11 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Fire.

When evaluating the first basket market, Megan Gustafson is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 14% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Storm prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
N. Hiedeman	16	3	4	2	31
D. Malonga	15	7	2	0	33
F. Johnson	14	5	3	1	28
Awa Fam	13	5	2	1	28
Jade Melbourne	8	2	4	1	20

Fire prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Carla Leite	11	2	4	0	24
Megan Gustafson	11	4	1	1	19
B. Carleton	9	4	2	2	20
Emily Engstler	8	6	2	1	25
Sarah Barker	8	5	2	1	22

Storm vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's game between the Fire and Storm at Moda Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Storm vs. Portland Fire
• Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Moda Center

Conclusion

We predict the Fire, with a 61.3% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.