Mystics vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [8/13/2026]
Get Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Las Vegas Aces will face the Washington Mystics in WNBA action at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner in this Mystics vs. Aces prediction.
The Aces, who have stars like A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and NaLyssa Smith, will face off against the Mystics, featuring Shakira Austin, Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Mystics vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model gives the Aces a 64.2% chance of defeating the Mystics.
According to our model, the Mystics (+6.5) have a 59.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 169.5-point over/under has a 56.9% chance of going over,.
Mystics vs. Aces odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Spread: Mystics +6.5 (-110) / Aces -6.5 (+108)
- Moneyline: Mystics +203, Aces -213
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mystics vs. Aces picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Spread: Mystics +6.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
- Moneyline: Mystics @ +203 via Polymarket
- Total: Over 169.5 @ -110 via DraftKings
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mystics +6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mystics vs. Aces player props
WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Washington vs. Las Vegas matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Michelob ULTRA Arena.
Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 15 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 26 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists for the Aces.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Shakira Austin striking first with a 15.4% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Mystics prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakira Austin | 15 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 36 |
| Sonia Citron | 15 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 32 |
| M. Onyenwere | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| Cotie McMahon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
Aces prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 26 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 52 |
| Jackie Young | 18 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 39 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| Chelsea Gray | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 33 |
| Jewell Loyd | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 |
Mystics vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Aces and Mystics at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Thursday, August 13, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with a 64.2% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
