Mystics vs. Sparks prediction: Washington favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [8/28/2026]

The Los Angeles Sparks and Washington Mystics will lock horns in the WNBA at Crypto.com Arena on Friday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Mystics as the most likely winner in this Mystics vs. Sparks prediction.

The Sparks, who have the likes of Nneka Ogwumike, Rae Burrell and Dearica Hamby, will face off against the Mystics, featuring Shakira Austin, Kiki Iriafen and Sonia Citron.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Mystics vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Mystics and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Mystics a 69.8% chance of beating the Sparks.

According to our model, the Sparks (+5.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 167.5-point over/under has a 56.2% chance of going over.

Mystics vs. Sparks odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Mystics -5.5 (+108) / Sparks +5.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Mystics -194, Sparks +186

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mystics vs. Sparks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Spread: Mystics -5.5 @ +108 via DraftKings
• Moneyline: Mystics @ -194 via Novig
• Total: Over 167.5 @ +100 via Polymarket

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 167.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mystics vs. Sparks player props

Betting on Mystics vs. Sparks WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.

Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 14 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists, while Nneka Ogwumike is projected to have 16 points, 8 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sparks.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Shakira Austin striking first with a 14.7% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Mystics prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Shakira Austin	14	9	2	1	35
Kiki Iriafen	14	9	2	0	31
Sonia Citron	13	3	6	1	31
Georgia Amoore	11	3	4	3	25
M. Onyenwere	7	2	2	2	15

Sparks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Nneka Ogwumike	16	8	2	1	34
Rae Burrell	15	2	3	2	27
Dearica Hamby	13	6	2	0	29
Cameron Brink	9	6	2	1	26
Erica Wheeler	8	2	4	1	20

Mystics vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Sparks and Mystics at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks
• Date: Friday, August 28, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Crypto.com Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Mystics, with a 69.8% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Friday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.