Mystics vs. Lynx prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [6/21/2026]

The Minnesota Lynx will square off with the Washington Mystics in WNBA action at Target Center on Sunday, beginning at 6:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Mystics vs. Lynx game.

The Lynx, powered by Natasha Howard, Courtney Williams and Olivia Miles, will face off against the Mystics, featuring Shakira Austin, Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Mystics vs. Lynx prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA game between the Mystics and Lynx, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lynx an 80.4% chance of beating the Mystics.

According to our model, the Mystics (+13.5) have a 66.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 169.5 points has a 52.8% chance of staying under,.

Mystics vs. Lynx odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mystics	Lynx
Spread	+13.5 (-108)	-13.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+650	-900
Total	o169.5 (-110)	u169.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mystics vs. Lynx picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Mystics +13.5	-108
Moneyline	Mystics	+650
Total	Under 169.5	-106

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mystics +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mystics vs. Lynx player props

WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Sunday's Washington vs. Minnesota game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 16 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Natasha Howard is projected to have 16 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists for the Lynx.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Kiki Iriafen striking first with a 14.5% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Mystics prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Shakira Austin	16	7	3	0	34
Sonia Citron	15	4	3	2	29
Kiki Iriafen	13	9	2	0	30
M. Onyenwere	10	3	2	1	19
Lauren Betts	9	4	2	0	19

Lynx prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Lynx:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Natasha Howard	16	7	3	0	35
C. Williams	15	5	6	1	35
Olivia Miles	14	4	5	1	33
Kayla McBride	14	3	3	2	27
Nia Coffey	11	6	3	2	28

Mystics vs. Lynx game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Lynx and Mystics at Target Center is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx
• Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with an 80.4% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.