Mystics vs. Liberty prediction: New York favored to win Sunday's WNBA game [6/14/2026]

The New York Liberty will square off with the Washington Mystics in WNBA action at Barclays Center on Sunday, beginning at 3:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Mystics vs. Liberty game.

The Liberty, who have star players such as Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones and Sabrina Ionescu, will face off against the Mystics, who feature Sonia Citron, Shakira Austin and Cotie McMahon.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Mystics vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's WNBA matchup between the Mystics and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Liberty an 89.5% chance of beating the Mystics.

According to our model, the Mystics (+13.5) have a 50.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 167.5 points has a 56.3% chance of going over,.

Mystics vs. Liberty odds

We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mystics	Liberty
Spread	+13.5 (-110)	-13.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+575	-800
Total	o167.5 (-105)	u167.5 (-115)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mystics vs. Liberty picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Liberty -13.5	-105
Moneyline	Liberty	-800
Total	Over 167.5	-105

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 167.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mystics vs. Liberty player props

Betting on Mystics vs. Liberty WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.

Sonia Citron is expected to lead the Mystics with 15 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 20 points, 7 rebounds and 4 assists for the Liberty.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Satou Sabally striking first with a 14.3% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Mystics prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Sonia Citron	15	4	2	2	30
Shakira Austin	15	8	3	0	35
Cotie McMahon	12	3	2	1	22
M. Onyenwere	10	3	2	1	19
Lauren Betts	9	4	2	0	19

Liberty prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Breanna Stewart	20	7	4	1	42
Jonquel Jones	14	8	3	2	35
Sabrina Ionescu	14	4	5	2	32
Satou Sabally	14	4	2	2	26
Leonie Fiebich	8	3	2	2	18

Mystics vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Liberty and Mystics at Barclays Center is scheduled to begin at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty
• Date: Sunday, June 14, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: Barclays Center

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with an 89.5% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Sunday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.