Mystics vs. Tempo prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [7/14/2026]

WNBA action continues on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET as the Washington Mystics square off with the Toronto Tempo at Coca-Cola Coliseum.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model gives the Mystics a slight edge with a 51.1% win probability over the Tempo.

The Tempo, with stars like Marina Mabrey, Isabelle Harrison and Laura Juskaite, are set to take on the Mystics, featuring Shakira Austin, Kiki Iriafen and Sonia Citron.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's Mystics vs. Tempo matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Mystics vs. Tempo prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Mystics and Tempo, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mystics a 51.1% chance of defeating the Tempo.

According to our model, the Tempo (+1.5) have a 54.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 171.5-point over/under has a 57.5% chance of staying under,.

Mystics vs. Tempo odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mystics	Tempo
Spread	-1.5 (-106)	+1.5 (+102)
Moneyline	-113	+111
Total	o171.5 (-104)	u171.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mystics vs. Tempo picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Tempo +1.5	novig+102
Moneyline	Tempo	novig+111
Total	Under 171.5	novig+100

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 171.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mystics vs. Tempo player props

WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Tuesday's Mystics vs. Tempo matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Coca-Cola Coliseum.

Shakira Austin is expected to lead the Mystics with 18 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists, while Marina Mabrey is projected to have 18 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists for the Tempo.

Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Marina Mabrey striking first with a 15.9% probability.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Mystics prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Shakira Austin	18	8	3	1	40
Kiki Iriafen	16	9	2	0	33
Sonia Citron	15	4	3	1	31
M. Onyenwere	10	3	1	1	18
Cotie McMahon	9	2	1	1	17

Tempo prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Marina Mabrey	18	3	4	2	34
I. Harrison	13	6	2	1	29
Laura Juskaite	12	5	2	2	28
Maria Conde	11	5	3	3	26
Nyara Sabally	11	6	1	0	27

Mystics vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Tempo and Mystics at Coca-Cola Coliseum is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo
• Date: Tuesday, July 14, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Coca-Cola Coliseum

Conclusion

We predict the Mystics, with a 51.1% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.