Oct 17, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Playoffs today, Saturday, October 17, 2026
Read Article Best WNBA bets today: Saturday's picks include Dream vs. Mercury play [8/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Editor
Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Saturday, August 22, 2026.
Today’s best WNBA bets for August 22, 2026 are here, with Dream vs. Mercury among the top plays identified by our model across Saturday’s WNBA slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, searching the latest WNBA odds to discover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of WNBA best bets tonight [8/22, updated 8:50PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s WNBA best bets, ranked by edge for Saturday, August 22, 2026.
Dream ML (-300)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 79.7%
- Matchup: Dream vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Dream to defeat Mercury at -300 odds. A 79.7% probability produces an edge of 4.7%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.
Dream vs. Mercury Under 176.5 points (+104)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 52.2%
- Matchup: Dream vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Dream vs. Mercury under 176.5 points carries a 3.2% edge and a probability of 52.2% at +104 odds, according to our model.
Dream -8.5 (+106)
- Edge: 2.0%
- Probability: 50.5%
- Matchup: Dream vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Dream -8.5 vs. Mercury at +106 odds shows a 2.0% edge, supported by a 50.5% probability in simulations.
WNBA best bets summary: Saturday, 8/22/2026
As of 8:50PM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dream vs. Mercury | Dream ML | -300 @ Polymarket | 4.7% | 79.7% |
| Dream vs. Mercury | Under 176.5 points | +104 @ Polymarket | 3.2% | 52.2% |
| Dream vs. Mercury | Dream -8.5 | +106 @ Novig | 2.0% | 50.5% |
List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [8/22/2026]
- Sun vs. Sparks (9:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Dream vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Storm vs. Wings (4:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Fever vs. Sky (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Mystics vs. Fire (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Aces vs. Tempo (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
Conclusion
Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for August 22, 2026, featuring plays such as Dream ML vs. Mercury and under 176.5 points also in the Dream vs. Mercury matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Ryan Leaver specializes in sports betting analysis across the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. Drawing on advanced statistical models, simulations, and historical data, he produces game previews, betting picks, player prop analysis, and futures coverage to help bettors make more informed decisions.
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