Best WNBA bets today: Thursday's picks include Tempo vs. Mystics play [6/11/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get WNBA picks today and best bets for Thursday, June 11, 2026.

WNBA Best Bets.
These WNBA betting picks for June 11, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Thursday's games.

Today’s best WNBA bets for June 11, 2026 are here, with Tempo vs. Mystics among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s WNBA schedule.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest WNBA odds to unearth genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of WNBA best bets tonight [6/11, updated 8:32PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best WNBA bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, June 11, 2026.

Mystics ML (-115)

Our model has identified value on Mystics to defeat Tempo at -115 odds. A 63.9% probability produces an edge of 10.4%, making this the strongest play for today's WNBA slate.

 

Tempo vs. Mystics Under 168.5 points (+102)

Tempo vs. Mystics under 168.5 points carries a 7.1% edge and a probability of 56.6% at +102 odds, according to our model.

 

Mystics -2.5 (+102)

Mystics -2.5 vs. Tempo at +102 odds shows a 5.7% edge, supported by a 55.2% probability in simulations.

 

Mercury vs. Wings over 169.5 points (+111)

A 4.5% edge and 52% probability make Mercury vs. Wings over 169.5 points a value play in the Mercury vs. Wings matchup, per our model.

 

Mercury +6.5 (-105)

Mercury +6.5 at -105 odds presents a 2.8% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54%.

 

Aces vs. Fire Under 170.5 points (-104)

  • Edge: 2.4%
  • Probability: 53.4%
  • Matchup: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Under 170.5 points in Aces vs. Fire at -104 odds, supported by an edge of 2.4%.

 

WNBA best bets summary: Thursday, 6/11/2026

As of 8:32PM ET, here are our top WNBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Probability
Tempo vs. Mystics Mystics ML -115 @ Polymarket 10.4% 63.9%
Tempo vs. Mystics Under 168.5 Points +102 @ Polymarket 7.1% 56.6%
Tempo vs. Mystics Mystics -2.5 +102 @ Polymarket 5.7% 55.2%
Mercury vs. Wings Over 169.5 Points +111 @ Polymarket 4.5% 52%
Mercury vs. Wings Mercury +6.5 -105 @ BetMGM 2.8% 54%
Aces vs. Fire Under 170.5 Points -104 @ Novig 2.4% 53.4%
 

List of upcoming WNBA games to bet on [6/11/2026]

Conclusion

Our WNBA best bets are locked and loaded for June 11, 2026, featuring plays such as Mystics ML and Under 168.5 points also in the Tempo vs. Mystics matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Editor

Ryan Leaver specializes in sports betting analysis across the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. Drawing on advanced statistical models, simulations, and historical data, he produces game previews, betting picks, player prop analysis, and futures coverage to help bettors make more informed decisions.

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