WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, August 28, 2026

Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, August 28, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.

These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.

Wilson, Jackie Young and Kelsey Mitchell lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.

WNBA first basket predictions tonight (August 28, 2026)

• A'ja Wilson (Aces): 17.2% probability
• Jackie Young (Aces): 15.3% probability
• Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): 15.1% probability
• Shakira Austin (Mystics): 14.7% probability
• Aaliyah Edwards (Sun): 14.3% probability
• Kiki Iriafen (Mystics): 12.8% probability
• Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks): 12.8% probability
• Allisha Gray (Dream): 12.5% probability
• Dearica Hamby (Sparks): 12.3% probability
• Angel Reese (Dream): 11.9% probability
• Rhyne Howard (Dream): 11.7% probability
• Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun): 11.7% probability
• Kiki Rice (Tempo): 11.7% probability
• Caitlin Clark (Fever): 11.6% probability
• Rae Burrell (Sparks): 11.6% probability
• Megan DiLeo (Fire): 11.5% probability
• Carla Leite (Fire): 11.2% probability
• Bridget Carleton (Fire): 11.2% probability
• Aliyah Boston (Fever): 10.8% probability
• Isabelle Harrison (Tempo): 10.4% probability
• Laura Juskaite (Tempo): 10.3% probability
• Diamond Miller (Sun): 10.1% probability
• Sonia Citron (Mystics): 10.0% probability
• Emily Engstler (Fire): 9.8% probability
• Kia Nurse (Tempo): 8.9% probability
• Temi Fagbenle (Tempo): 8.7% probability
• Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 8.5% probability
• Chelsea Gray (Aces): 8.1% probability
• Naz Hillmon (Dream): 7.4% probability
• Makayla Timpson (Fever): 7.4% probability
• Saniya Rivers (Sun): 6.9% probability
• Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 6.9% probability
• Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 6.8% probability
• Michaela Onyenwere (Mystics): 6.6% probability
• Jordin Canada (Dream): 6.5% probability
• Nyadiew Puoch (Fire): 6.3% probability
• Georgia Amoore (Mystics): 5.9% probability
• Lexie Hull (Fever): 5.1% probability
• Ariel Atkins (Sparks): 4.9% probability
• Brianna Turner (Aces): 2.6% probability

WNBA first basket picks today (August 28, 2026)

• Rae Burrell (Sparks): 3.2% edge at +1100
• Emily Engstler (Fire): 2.7% edge at +1300
• Kiki Rice (Tempo): 2.2% edge at +950
• Bridget Carleton (Fire): 2.1% edge at +1000
• Megan DiLeo (Fire): 1.5% edge at +900
• Stephanie Talbot (Aces): 1.5% edge at +1800
• Erica Wheeler (Sparks): 1.3% edge at +1300
• Diamond Miller (Sun): 0.9% edge at +980
• Sonia Citron (Mystics): 0.4% edge at +950
• Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun): 0.2% edge at +1400
• Aaliyah Edwards (Sun): 0.0% edge at +600

Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.

For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 8/28.

Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket

For Friday, August 28, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Jackie Young and Kelsey Mitchell lead our first basket projections, while Rae Burrell shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.

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