Jul 22, 2026
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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, June 15, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/15.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, June 15, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Gabby Williams and Kelsey Plum lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also spotlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 15, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 16.6% |
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 14.8% |
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 14.2% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 13.7% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 13.5% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 13.2% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.8% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 12.6% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 11.2% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.9% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 10.7% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 10.6% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 10.6% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.5% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 10.3% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 10.2% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 10.1% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 9.5% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 8.5% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 8.5% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 8.1% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 7.9% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 7.5% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.3% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 7.2% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 6.9% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.6% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 6.4% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 4.8% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 4.2% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 15, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 5.5% | +1200 | 13.2% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 2.8% | +900 | 12.8% |
| Kelsey Plum | Sparks | 1.7% | +700 | 14.2% |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 1.6% | +1500 | 7.9% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 1.4% | +1000 | 10.5% |
| Paige Bueckers | Wings | 0.2% | +650 | 13.5% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/15.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, June 15, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Gabby Williams and Kelsey Plum lead our first basket projections, while Megan Gustafson shapes as the strongest value play at +1200. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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