Jul 22, 2026
Wings vs. Fire prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 19 points in Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/22/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, June 22, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/22.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, June 22, 2026—are live with the Tempo's Marina Mabrey projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections make use of key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Mabrey, Dominique Malonga and Aliyah Boston lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 22, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 16.5% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 14.1% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 13.3% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 13.3% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 12.7% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 12.2% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 12.2% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 11.9% |
| Angel Reese (Dream) | 11.8% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.8% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 11.5% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 11.4% |
| Allisha Gray (Dream) | 11.4% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 11.3% |
| Rhyne Howard (Dream) | 11.2% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 11.0% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 10.9% |
| Natasha Mack (Mercury) | 10.7% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.7% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 10.2% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 9.9% |
| Temi Fagbenle (Tempo) | 9.9% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 9.4% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 9.2% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 9.1% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 9.0% |
| Alexa Held (Mercury) | 9.0% |
| Laura Juskaite (Tempo) | 8.9% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 8.8% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 8.7% |
| Naz Hillmon (Dream) | 8.6% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 8.2% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 8.1% |
| Monique Akoa-Makani (Mercury) | 8.0% |
| Jordin Canada (Dream) | 7.1% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 7.0% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 7.0% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 6.8% |
| Jade Melbourne (Storm) | 6.0% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 6.0% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 4.3% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 22, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 3.0% | +1200 | 10.7% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 2.5% | +1000 | 11.5% |
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 2.2% | +650 | 15.5% |
| Gabriela Jaquez | Sky | 1.4% | +1200 | 9.1% |
| Saniya Rivers | Sun | 1.1% | +1300 | 8.2% |
| Natasha Mack | Mercury | 0.9% | +900 | 10.9% |
| Julie Allemand | Tempo | 0.7% | +1900 | 5.7% |
| Arike Ogunbowale | Wings | 0.4% | +1100 | 8.7% |
| Isabelle Harrison | Tempo | 0.3% | +800 | 11.4% |
| Noemie Brochant | Mercury | 0.2% | +1300 | 7.4% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/22.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, June 22, 2026, Marina Mabrey, Dominique Malonga and Aliyah Boston lead our first basket projections, while Azzi Fudd shapes as the strongest value play at +1200. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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